Do you believe that little grey men have visited earth in their spaceships?
I once used to believe this, but as technology and our concepts of the world increase, I am very much starting to doubt it. Let me explain why.
It is said that within the next 50 to 75 years we will reach a point in which we create machines that contain human or even above human level intelligence. These machines will then use their superior intelligence to create even more intelligent machines. The growth rate of this progress will be exponential. What that means is that you start with 1 and then get 2, then 4, then 8, 16, 32, 64, 128 and so on and so on. It’s not a linear path. You don’t go from 1 to 2 to 3 to 4. Because every generation basically doubles what the previous generation knew and they do it in less time.
Well considering that we as human beings are still far away from flying around the galaxy and yet we are much closer to evolving into machine ourselves within the next 100 years, the chances of an alien race being little grey fleshy men flying around from galaxy to galaxy seems a little, well… inconceivable. By the time they reached that space flight capability, they themselves would have been machines, they may possibly be the ship itself.
But it goes further then that. We are soon approaching the singularity. What this means is that technology and intelligence will advance so fast exponentially that it will reach a single point. It’s hard at this point to even grasp such a concept.
One theory is that the Big bang was a singularity that basically reversed itself exploding outward.
I don’t really understand this theory very well so I’m not going to go into it. But it’s an idea.
To back it up a little bit, it wouldn’t be inconceivable to predict that should no other catastrophes arise, within 500-1000 years human being no longer exist and neither do the machines that succeed us. What exists instead is the next evolution, which is our intelligence spread out through the cosmos in the form of matter, energy, light or radio waves. That said, alien intelligence could be all around us right now and we just don’t know it because we’re not evolved enough to recognize it.
Science fiction has for years shown us glimpses of the future in which human beings ride around to different planets in space ships, completely unchanged as a species from who we are today. But will we ever actually reach that point? The human body is not the most ideal body for space travel. We require food, water, oxygen and even to some extent gravity to keep us as we are today. It’s been proven that astronauts need to exercise regularily when in space in order to maintain their muscle structure. Without gravity the muscles soon atrophy. After all they don’t have the weight of the earth pulling on them. Which is why they float around. Without that weight their muscles are not as required and begin to disappear. We are built for our enviornment here on earth, as we began here. Travelling through space in the bodies we currently inhabit would require a lot of provisions. We are better off sending more advanced robots into space that only require electricty to function. Robots whose bodies are not biological and do not shrink and condition themselves to the enviorment they are in.
Unless our speed of spaceflight increases dramatically before human level robots are developed, we as flesh made human beings may never set foot on any planet further then mars. It is more likely that we will evolve into machines and use new robotic bodies to travel further. Even then we may only get so far before we find that those bodies are also limited and we are required to evolve into our next form before going further.
There are people that don’t believe any of this of course. Such is humaity. But humanity is not the end. The reality is, we are likely to reach our new evolution within the next 100-200 years. Barring any holy wars or natural catastropes that is. Those will be the two biggest things to watch out for in the 21st Century. There is afterall a certain subset of humanity that doesn’t want this progress to happen. Generally this is the relgious fanatics. The people who believe God will come down and sweep us away or that Allah wants nuclear war in the west. These are probably the scariest challenges that we as humaity face. But if we can get past them, we will see a vastly different future then what we conceive today. We will live for as long as we wish and we will be way smarter then we are today. So smart we can’t even grasp that kind of intelligence today.
Human are far from perfect. We like to believe we are sometimes. Some people say there is no such thing as perfect. They may be right. Perfection is an infinite value that may never be able to be reached. But we can always inch closer and closer to it.
What are your thoughts on all of this?